Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.216221 0.245871 0.277649 0.314188 0.354988 0.399086 0.450302
2025-10-26 0.177236 0.217002 0.262432 0.317978 0.383859 0.459288 0.551967
2025-11-02 0.151647 0.197936 0.253793 0.325744 0.415500 0.523277 0.661934
2025-11-09 0.127934 0.177031 0.239297 0.323339 0.432984 0.570259 0.754073
2025-11-16 0.109884 0.160414 0.227462 0.321852 0.450020 0.616520 0.847422
2025-11-23 0.095402 0.146375 0.216895 0.320074 0.465349 0.660443 0.939602
2025-11-30 0.086212 0.138389 0.213353 0.326889 0.491981 0.720277 1.056029
2025-12-07 0.076686 0.128588 0.205909 0.326936 0.508367 0.766260 1.155378
2025-12-14 0.068630 0.119961 0.199101 0.326871 0.523940 0.811301 1.255249
2025-12-21 0.061918 0.112601 0.193331 0.327526 0.540094 0.857505 1.358726
2025-12-28 0.056987 0.107555 0.190586 0.332391 0.562595 0.913906 1.479834
2026-01-04 0.053262 0.104104 0.189997 0.340436 0.590275 0.979280 1.617514
2026-01-11 0.048749 0.098909 0.186260 0.343383 0.610639 1.035589 1.746225
2026-01-18 0.045393 0.095434 0.185114 0.350528 0.638254 1.104787 1.898894
2026-01-25 0.042822 0.093129 0.185772 0.360741 0.671546 1.184782 2.072880
2026-02-01 0.038858 0.087621 0.180060 0.359070 0.684158 1.231346 2.194601
2026-02-08 0.035407 0.082715 0.174959 0.357971 0.697477 1.279503 2.321026
2026-02-15 0.032262 0.078049 0.169837 0.356311 0.709476 1.325761 2.446185
2026-02-22 0.030454 0.076025 0.169673 0.363982 0.738794 1.403178 2.627969
2026-03-01 0.028038 0.072357 0.165837 0.364128 0.753998 1.456402 2.770058
2026-03-08 0.025841 0.068907 0.162104 0.364109 0.768740 1.509318 2.913776
2026-03-15 0.023917 0.065855 0.158905 0.364860 0.784874 1.565346 3.065331
2026-03-22 0.022542 0.063955 0.158002 0.370236 0.810281 1.639438 3.252581